Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.315397 0.374783 0.441220 0.520901 0.613709 0.718231 0.844696
2025-01-12 0.223152 0.298132 0.391212 0.514608 0.673172 0.869281 1.129312
2025-01-19 0.173528 0.253135 0.359907 0.512247 0.722418 1.000312 1.393339
2025-01-26 0.147600 0.231467 0.351293 0.532725 0.797671 1.167017 1.716509
2025-02-02 0.138296 0.230492 0.369372 0.590278 0.928302 1.420283 2.182846
2025-02-09 0.122631 0.216447 0.364939 0.612209 1.007239 1.605349 2.567645
2025-02-16 0.104259 0.194507 0.344319 0.604942 1.038667 1.720241 2.855799
2025-02-23 0.087015 0.171305 0.317808 0.583590 1.043446 1.791960 3.080718
2025-03-02 0.072085 0.149543 0.290298 0.556174 1.033626 1.837208 3.264466
2025-03-09 0.066076 0.143426 0.289475 0.575043 1.104337 2.020725 3.691508
2025-03-16 0.056101 0.127788 0.268755 0.554603 1.102273 2.078856 3.908448
2025-03-23 0.050935 0.121113 0.264173 0.563730 1.154603 2.235707 4.309557
2025-03-30 0.045990 0.114392 0.259171 0.572605 1.209703 2.406659 4.759015
2025-04-06 0.040308 0.105065 0.247568 0.566844 1.236091 2.527838 5.129669
2025-04-13 0.035694 0.097349 0.238202 0.564326 1.268254 2.662155 5.535704
2025-04-20 0.033463 0.095009 0.240347 0.586722 1.353788 2.906968 6.174120
2025-04-27 0.034065 0.099943 0.259752 0.649627 1.531061 3.348073 7.232445
2025-05-04 0.032072 0.097724 0.261983 0.673586 1.626336 3.630737 7.994859
2025-05-11 0.028497 0.090544 0.251164 0.665647 1.650095 3.767579 8.470426
2025-05-18 0.024608 0.081700 0.234850 0.642319 1.636254 3.823545 8.781644
2025-05-25 0.020946 0.072751 0.216859 0.612357 1.603448 3.835228 8.998925
2025-06-01 0.019823 0.071321 0.218688 0.632980 1.692994 4.122593 9.833054
2025-06-08 0.017180 0.064528 0.204761 0.610640 1.675495 4.168602 10.139684